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Conference on Climate Change & Migration 2023

Photo of Duke in DC office hosting Climate and Migration Conference
Photo of Duke in DC office hosting Climate and Migration Conference

April 21, 2023

Conference on Climate Change & Migration

On April 21, 2023, Duke University’s Program on Climate, Resilience and Mobility (PCRM) hosted the Conference on Climate Change & Migration which aimed to bring together researchers, policymakers, sector experts, donors, NGOs, and other stakeholders to address the intersection between climate change and migration. This unique, day-long opportunity allowed experts to hear the latest on a range of topics that will influence the future of migration in the context of climate change.

WELCOME & INTRODUCTIONS

Sarah Bermeo headshot

Sarah Bermeo

Co-Director, PCRM
Associate Prof. of Public Policy and Political Science, Duke University

Kerilyn Schewel headshot

Kerilyn Schewel

Co-Director, PCRM
Lecturing Fellow, Center for International Development, Duke University

Brian Murray Headshot

Brian Murray

Interim Director, Nicholas Institute for Energy, Environment & Sustainability,
Duke University

Session 1: Big Data, Climate Change, and Migration

Session one highlighted some of the diverse ways that researchers are currently using big data and other open data sources to analyze human mobility and its intersection with climate. Session presentations covered both the opportunities and challenges of using this type of data to inform both research and policy.

Middle income groups in West Africa depend on agricultural yields and are unable to move due to drought. Improved soil moisture leads to migration. There is an opportunity to leverage mobile phone metadata.
- Sveta Milusheva
Movements for college are seen as the biggest driver of intra-national moving patterns in the US.
- Laura Schewel
Where people at US borders originate from is key to assess livelihoods and climate change impacts.
- Kevin Horn
Sveta Milusheva Headshot

Sveta Milusheva

Economist, World Bank

Laura Schewel Headshot

Laura Schewel

CEO, Streetlight Data

Alex de Sherbinin Headshot

Alex de Sherbinin

Deputy Director & Sr Research Scientist, CIESIN, Columbia Climate School

Kevin Horn Headshot

Kevin Horn

AAAS Science & Technology Policy Fellow, USAID

Brian McAdoo Headshot

Brian McAdoo

Moderator
Associate Prof. of Earth &Climate Sciences, NSOE, Duke University

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Session 2: Climate Change & Internal Migration: Trends, Opportunities, and Challenges

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Sarah Bermeo headshot

David Cronin

Moderator
Sr Policy & Legislative Specialist, Catholic Relief Services

Sarah Bermeo headshot

Elizabeth Ferris

Director, Institute for the Study of Int. Migration, Georgetown University

Sarah Bermeo headshot

Kanta Kumari Rigaud

Lead Climate Change Specialist, World Bank

Sarah Bermeo headshot

David Leblang

Prof. of Politics and Public Policy, University of Virginia

Sarah Bermeo headshot

Gabriela Nagle Alverio

Ph.D. Candidate in Environmental Policy (UPEP), Duke University

Sarah Bermeo headshot

Erika Weinthal

Prof. of Environmental Policy and Public Policy, Duke University

Session 2: Climate Change & Internal Migration: Trends, Opportunities, and Challenges

Session two explored the complex issue of internal migration, both in the United Sates and globally. The panel discussed the difficulties of decision makers face when trying to create frameworks to tackle internal migration caused by climate change.

Assessing the impact of flood incidences on migration across racial populations across USA, black populations move more after floods in coastal areas compared to inland areas. These results are more pronounced in urban areas.
- Gabriela Nagle Alverio
Climate migration hotspots could emerge as early as 2030, calling for immediate action in policies and programs. Recommended core policy directions include cutting down GHGs, pursuing inclusive climate resilient development in these emerging hotspots and embedding climate migration in development planning.
- Kanta Kumari Rigaud
National level policies on climate migration are sparse and there is no international framework for environmental mobility. Inter-agency coordination mechanisms are needed to collect evidence and develop response programs.
- Elizabeth Ferris
Elizabeth Ferris Headshot

Elizabeth Ferris

Director, Institute for the Study of Int. Migration, Georgetown University

Kanta Kumari Rigaud Headshot

Kanta Kumari Rigaud

Lead Climate Change Specialist, World Bank

David Leblang Headshot

David Leblang

Prof. of Politics & Public Policy, University of Virginia

Gabriela Alverio Headshot

Gabriela Nagle Alverio

Ph.D. Candidate in Environmental Policy (UPEP), Duke University

Erika Weinthal Headshot

Erika Weinthal

Prof. of Environmental Policy & Public Policy, Duke University

David Cronin Headshot

David Cronin

Moderator
Sr Policy & Legislative Specialist, Catholic Relief Services

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Keynote Address:

Keynote speaker Caglar Ozden discussed the overall landscape of migration and global development, framing the broader discussion on climate and migration in the context of a critical and historic demographic inflection point. He presented several potential broad policy responses to shift thinking around migration. Caglar Ozden is the co-director of the World Bank’s 2023 World Development Report entitled, “Migrants, Refugees, and Societies.”

Watch the full presentation in the video below.

Çağlar Özden Headshot

Çağlar Özden

Co-Director WDR 2023 & Lead Economist, World Bank

62 million migrants are predicted in the next century. Climate change is a compounding factor and amplifies existing motivators and patterns of mobility.
- Çağlar Özden
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Session 3: Climate Adaptation: Needs, Funding, Measurement, and Strategies

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Cursus turpis massa tincidunt dui ut ornare lectus sit. Feugiat vivamus at augue eget arcu dictum varius duis. Ut enim blandit volutpat maecenas volutpat blandit. Pharetra massa massa ultricies mi quis hendrerit. Blandit volutpat maecenas volutpat blandit aliquam etiam erat velit scelerisque. Ullamcorper malesuada proin libero nunc consequat interdum varius sit. Tristique senectus et netus et. Ut aliquam purus sit amet luctus venenatis. Magna fermentum iaculis eu non diam. Neque aliquam vestibulum morbi blandit cursus risus at.

$300 billion is required just for climate adaptation according to UNEP Adaptation Gap report. Only 1.7% of tracked climate finance are targeted at smallholder farmers. We need innovative methods to reach this population and scale development programs.
- Sarah Bermeo
Localized donor operations are expanding rapidly but face the risk of duplication. Granular data and better coordination are required for targeted development programming.
- Lawrence Huang
Labor mobility can be a climate adaptation strategy. Schemes such as the seasonal worker program in Australia for Pacific Island countries have the potential to address labor shortage but should consider social and emotional costs.
- Limon B. Rodriguez
Sarah Bermeo headshot

Sarah Bermeo

Co-Director, PCRM
Associate Prof. of Public Policy and Political Science, Duke University

Dakota Fisher Headshot

Dakota Fisher

Community Planner, FEMA

Lawrence Huang Headshot

Lawrence Huang

Associate Policy Analyst,
Migration Policy Institute

Limon B. Rodriquez Headshot

Limon B. Rodriquez

Doctoral Candidate,
Johns Hopkins University School of
Advanced International Studies

Irasema Infante Barbosa Headshot

Irasema Infante Barbosa

Moderator
Regional Coordinator, Inter-American Development Bank

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Session 4: International Climate Migration: Law, Human Rights, and Challenges

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Cursus turpis massa tincidunt dui ut ornare lectus sit. Feugiat vivamus at augue eget arcu dictum varius duis. Ut enim blandit volutpat maecenas volutpat blandit. Pharetra massa massa ultricies mi quis hendrerit. Blandit volutpat maecenas volutpat blandit aliquam etiam erat velit scelerisque. Ullamcorper malesuada proin libero nunc consequat interdum varius sit. Tristique senectus et netus et. Ut aliquam purus sit amet luctus venenatis. Magna fermentum iaculis eu non diam. Neque aliquam vestibulum morbi blandit cursus risus at.

Options that exist for protection in immigration law such as asylum, temporary protected status & special humanitarian relief programs have shortcomings and no uniform coverage eligibility.
- Elizabeth Keyes
There is a need to go beyond tracking ‘trapped populations’ in times of crises. It is difficult to identify who is trapped outside of disaster settings and important to review involuntary immobility in slow-onset changes and non-crises.
- Kerilyn Schewel
There is a danger of hard lining immigrants into discrete groups in US. Lack of intersection means that climate migrants are not addressed, with most resorting to asylum as a legal basis.
- Theresa Cardinal Brown
Elizabeth Keyes Headshot

Elizabeth Keyes

Professor of Law, University of Baltimore

Kerilyn Schewel headshot

Kerilyn Schewel

Co-Director, PCRM
Lecturing Fellow, Center for International Development, Duke University

Rachel Schmidtke Headshot

Rachel Schmidtke

Latin America Senior Advocate, Refugees International

Theresa Cardinal Brown Headshot

Theresa Cardinal Brown

Senior Advisor, Immigration and Border Policy, Bipartisan Policy Center

Dara Lind Headshot

Dara Lind

Moderator
Senior Fellow, American Immigration Council

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